America’s Largest Sandwich Chain Shrinks Its Footprint: What’s Really Happening at Subway?

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America’s Largest Sandwich Chain Shrinks Its Footprint: What’s Really Happening at Subway?
Subway restaurant
Subway closed more than 1,000 stores in the United States last year | CNN Business, Photo by CNN, is licensed under CC BY 2.0

Hey everyone, let’s dive into some big news swirling around one of the most recognizable names in the restaurant world: Subway! It turns out the sandwich giant is undergoing some significant changes right here in the US, and the numbers are certainly eye-catching.

For the first time in two decades, Subway’s US store count has actually dropped below the 20,000 mark. That’s a notable moment, especially considering the sheer scale of their operation. Last year alone, according to franchise filings, the company shuttered 631 underperforming restaurants. This wasn’t a one-off event; it marks the eighth straight year Subway has seen its domestic footprint shrink.

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The decline really kicked off around 2016. Think back to 2015 – that’s when Subway hit its peak, boasting around 27,000 stores across the country. Fast forward to today, and the net loss since that peak is approximately 7,600 locations. That includes some pretty significant dips in specific years, with over 1,000 stores closing in 2018, 2020, and 2021.

So, what’s driving this trend? The context points to a few key factors creating headwinds. Mounting competition in the fast-casual space is definitely playing a role. On top of that, customer tastes are always evolving, and restaurants need to keep pace. The text also mentions lower average sales per store compared to rivals, which certainly puts pressure on individual locations and the overall system.

Franchisee bankruptcy
Subway Unveils New Global Restaurant Design – Nov 12, 2024, Photo by Subway Newsroom, is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0

The challenges aren’t just about broad market trends, though. The text highlights some more specific difficulties franchisees have faced. Multiple operators have sought Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. There was even an abrupt closure of 23 locations across two states after what’s described as a bank hacking nightmare, leaving around 200 workers feeling ‘totally blindsided’ and jobless.

Despite these significant closures and the shrinking US number, let’s keep some perspective. Subway *still* holds the title of America’s largest restaurant chain by location count. That’s right, even with fewer stores than its peak, it’s bigger in terms of physical presence than other giants like Starbucks (which ended 2024 with 16,935 US spots) and McDonald’s (at 13,559 locations).

The company itself acknowledges the need for strategic adjustments. Subway’s official statement on the closures is that it’s “‘opening new restaurants as well as relocating or closing locations as needed, to ensure a consistent, high-quality and convenient guest experience.'” This suggests the closures are, at least in part, a deliberate move to optimize the system and improve the overall brand experience for customers.

This focus on optimization is part of what Subway calls its ‘Smart Growth’ strategy. The goal here is quite clear: increasing profits for the system and protecting Subway’s marketing position in the competitive landscape. It’s about being smarter, more targeted, about where and how they operate.

Subway acquisition 2023
Roark Capital Group Builds a Restaurant Empire with Diverse Acquisitions Over 25 Years – N24 English, Photo by N24, is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0

A major development that happened in 2023 was the acquisition of Subway by Roark Capital Group. This was a massive deal, following months of rumors, with the Subway heirs agreeing to sell the chain for $9.6 billion. However, the text points out that this significant ownership change “did not improve the chain’s sales in the US.” So, while the brand has new ownership and presumably new strategic direction, the immediate impact on domestic sales hasn’t reversed the trend.

Interestingly, while the US market has seen this contraction, the story is quite different when we look internationally. Subway continues to be remarkably successful outside the US, a point of real strength for the brand globally. The text highlights that Subway operates over 37,000 restaurants worldwide.

This impressive global footprint makes Subway America’s largest sandwich chain *and* the third-largest restaurant chain in the world overall, trailing only McDonald’s and Starbucks internationally. A Subway spokesperson emphasized this positive momentum, stating to QSR magazine that “‘Subway achieved positive global net restaurant growth for the second consecutive year.'” They also reiterated the focus on “‘Smart Growth'” with nearly 37,000 locations worldwide.

international expansion plans
Subway (Gross-Gerau), Photo by Tripadvisor, is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0

The plans for international expansion are robust, too. The text mentions that deals struck over the past few years promise an additional 10,000 spots in the pipeline internationally. This paints a picture of a brand that is pulling back in its home market but pushing forward aggressively and successfully on the global stage.

Let’s circle back to the ‘Smart Growth’ strategy and what it means for the US. The company says its approach here is strategic and data-driven, aiming “‘to ensure restaurants are in the right location, image and format and operated by the right franchisees.'” This involves the aforementioned process of “‘opening new restaurants as well as relocating or closing locations as needed, to ensure a consistent, high-quality and convenient guest experience.'” It frames the closures not just as failures, but as part of a broader plan to improve the overall health and consistency of the brand in the US.

Consistency seems to be a key word here. In the world of franchising, customers expect a certain level of reliability no matter which location they visit. The context provides an interesting parallel from Japan, discussing the ramen chain Tenka Ippin which is planning significant closures (almost a third of its Tokyo-area stores). While the company wouldn’t comment, social media users reportedly blamed inconsistency, with complaints like “‘There’s an overwhelming difference in taste from store to store.'” One user even compared this explicitly to problems the Subway franchise has historically faced in Japan, noting that franchisees there haven’t always had “strong corporate direction,” betraying the expectation of “reliable consistency” that people have for a chain.

While the text doesn’t explicitly link consistency issues to Subway’s US closures currently, it does suggest that maintaining a uniform experience across a vast franchise system like Subway’s can be a challenge, and that inconsistency can impact customer perception, which could indirectly contribute to performance issues at some locations.

Subway modernization
First Look: Subway unveils new global restaurant design | Chain Store Age, Photo by Chain Store Age, is licensed under CC BY 2.0

Subway isn’t just closing stores; it’s also investing heavily in modernizing the remaining and new locations. A big part of this is the Fresh Forward 2.0 design prototype. This new look is designed to amplify the brand’s personality with vibrant decor elements. We’re talking bold wall graphics with messages, elevated lighting, and warmer wood tones. It also supports the growth in digital innovations, reflecting how customers order and interact with brands today.

This widespread makeover is already well underway. As of last year, more than 20,000 Subway spots across the world have undergone remodels to match this new standard. The plan is for ‘Fresh Forward 2.0’ to be implemented in all Subway restaurants worldwide in the coming months. This demonstrates a clear commitment to refreshing the physical experience customers have when they visit a Subway restaurant.

Beyond the store design, Subway has made other changes that have generated buzz and headlines. One particularly talked-about move was switching from Coca-Cola to Pepsi beverages. This decision, confirmed last year, reportedly caused some fans to be “outraged.” Changing something as fundamental as beverage offerings can certainly stir strong emotions among loyal customers!

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Is This Ramen Chain Closing Stores Because It Sucks?

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